June Review

3 July 2024

June Review

By Adam Novakovic

The summer is now underway, with disappointing weather and England under-performing at a major football tournament, it may be understandable if a sense of déjà vu is in the air. This nagging sense of familiarity extended into the energy markets, with the major narratives impacting gas and electricity prices echoing the news of previous months.


Wholesale energy prices stayed range-bound as indecision reigned in the markets. Traders seemed uncertain whether now is the time to submit buy orders or to be more cautious, and this led to prices remaining stable throughout the month.


One of the major stories – which now seems to be a monthly occurrence – was unexpected outages impacting Norwegian supply. The Sleipner Riser connection hub suffered an outage at the beginning of the month, impacting supplies of LNG being delivered to the UK and mainland Europe. This news caused a small jump in gas prices and further highlighted the dangers of being reliant on gas imports. 


Norway was not the only country dealing with supply disruptions during June. The Chevron-owned, Australian Wheatstone LNG facility suffered a 2-week outage due to unexpected repairs.

This facility is largely used to supply East Asia, and -- with numerous parts of Asia facing increased energy demand as a result of heatwaves -- the LNG market has become more competitive. The combination of increased demand and supply issues might be the primary factor for keeping prices at their current levels. With concerns about supply from the Middle East beginning to fade, it would have been reasonable to expect energy prices to fall if not for the complex supply/demand relationship being exacerbated by these issues.


It would be no surprise to hear that small businesses are concerned by the prospect of rising energy costs. A recent survey by the Federation of Small Businesses confirmed that more than half of small businesses surveyed were worried about rising energy costs in the coming years. With energy costs having a significant impact upon the bottom line of many businesses, it has never been more important to ensure you are not paying more than necessary. If you would like a free market review drawn up for you ahead of your next renewal, email Adam@seemoreenergy.co.uk and we can have a market comparison prepared, allowing you to see which options would be best for you.


Outlook

Cornwall Insights lowered their price predictions for energy costs in the final quarter of this year. However, it does still represent an increase on their 3rd quarter predictions. It is normal for there to be seasonal variation and for prices to rise in winter when there will be increased demand.

Last year, prices fell into winter as Europe has gas reserve levels at near capacity. This has been achieved through purchasing between periods of heavy demand. This year, it appears that this may be more difficult to achieve due to increased Asian demand. If storage levels are not at the same levels as last year, we may see price spikes in December/January, spikes that could become more significant should weather conditions be worse than anticipated.


If your business requires advice with its energy procurement, management, or planning, then don’t hesitate to contact Seemore Energy to speak to experienced advisors who can help you with bespoke strategies and advice that is tailored to your needs. 



 

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6 October 2025
Market-Wide Half-Hourly Settlement (MHHS) What is MHHS? MHHS stands for Market-Wide Half-Hourly Settlement. Currently, most electricity is billed based on estimates or meter reads that can be provided monthly, quarterly, or sporadically. With MHHS electricity consumption will be accounted for and billed in 30-minute blocks. The idea is that with more precise, time-based data, suppliers and networks can match supply and demand more accurately. This helps reduce waste and allow more flexibility in how electricity is used across the system. Who does it apply to? Previously, only large industrial and commercial users needed to have half-hourly meters, but MHHS is intended to apply across the whole electricity market in Great Britain. This includes domestic consumers, small businesses, large industrial users, and everything in between. That means most electricity users will be indirectly affected, even if they don’t see anything change in how their meter looks, the rules behind billing and settlement will shift behind the scenes.
1 October 2025
September Review By Adam Novakovic We have reached the time of year where the summer months have started to fade and we begin to think about the colder seasons. This month saw the UK government recognise Palestine as a country, although they still seem unable to recognise the harm their energy policies are causing UK businesses. With further charges set to be added to UK energy bills and rising non-commodity costs, it was a relief that wholesale energy prices remained fairly flat throughout September. A recent report from independent analysts Cornwall Insights revealed that large energy users who aren’t covered by Government schemes could find that they are paying a further £450,000/year in non-commodity costs by 2030. With non-commodity costs such as DUOS and TUOS charges –which are used to fund the infrastructure responsible for the transmission of electricity – now accounting for over 2/3rds of total electricity costs for some businesses, it is of growing concern that these charges are set to continue rising. With the TUOS charges for 26/27 expected to increase significantly , the non-commodity charges are starting to have a negative impact on UK businesses ability to compete against foreign businesses with fewer governmental charges on their energy bills. This growing concern is yet to be addressed but could have a huge impact on many industries in the next year.
25 September 2025
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17 September 2025
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8 September 2025
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1 September 2025
August Review By Adam Novakovic August was a month that saw the return of domestic football and the return of one of the most prolific energy narratives of the last 5 years, as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine once again dominated the headlines.
29 August 2025
Nuclear Regulated Asset Base Levy: What It Means for Your Electricity Bills From this autumn, UK businesses will see a new charge appear on their electricity invoices: the Nuclear Regulated Asset Base (RAB) Levy. This charge will help finance new nuclear power stations such as Sizewell C, but it also means yet another non-commodity cost will be added to bills. What is the RAB model? The Regulated Asset Base (RAB) model is not new and has been used for decades to fund water networks, energy grids, and other large-scale infrastructure. Instead of waiting until projects are completed, it allows investors to receive steady returns during construction. The aim is to lower the overall cost of borrowing by sharing risk between developers, government, and consumers. In 2022, the Nuclear Energy Financing Act cleared the way for this model to be applied to nuclear energy. The logic is that by reducing financial risk, investors will be more willing to commit to long-term projects. For the government, it helps accelerate the nuclear build-out that is essential to the UK’s 2030 clean power targets. For consumers, however, it means paying towards new power plants years before they produce a single kilowatt-hour and before they can help lower unit rates.
21 August 2025
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14 August 2025
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